In some good news, Warnock has three times the cash on hand as Walker, and absolutely eclipses him in terms of individual donor numbers. He also continues to maintain a 4 to 5 point lead in the polls, higher than his lead going into the midterm.
Walker has made few appearances, and his most recent campaign ad has been flamed hard for being anti-trans only days after the Colorado mass shooting.
Without the coattails of up-ballot Republicans, he’d likely need either a decent polling advantage or huge cash advantage to win. He has neither.
Warnock has the benefit of incumbency, a big cash cushion, lots of in-person appearances, a polling lead beyond the margin of error, and the history that the one who led before the runoff usual wins.
And of course there’s the fact that Republicans went full “useful minority man” on Walker and have sphioned off fuckloads of money from his campaign for their own ends.
Republicans have basically abandoned Walker as a candidate and he only exists now as a fundraising tool. Meanwhile, dems have poured money and resources to boost Warnock.