The Target one appears to have been made by combining two different blind bag molds (unicorn female body, male pegasus head) and then adds Tempest’s horn and hair. The armor and shoes are all painted on. In contrast, the two-pack variant on the right has a completely unique body mold, and the armor is a separate piece that can be removed. The Target one’s hoof painting ends abruptly at the interior, while the 2-pack’s hooves are painted all the way around.
Actually now that I think about it, she looks like she’s in the Apple Split blind bag mold.
Same pose, but not the same mold. Zecora’s mold includes all of her jewelry, and her head is a different shape.